Unpredictable Weather Ahead: Below-Average Precipitation Expected This Month!

As we enter the early spring season, the weather forecast for Iran indicates a mix of rainfall patterns and temperature fluctuations. According to the Iranian Meteorological Organization, average rainfall is expected to be less than normal from March 10 to April 4, followed by a return to normal conditions from April 5 to April 20. This article delves into the detailed weather predictions for the upcoming weeks, providing insights into expected temperatures and precipitation levels across various regions.

From March 10 to March 16, the weather will exhibit varying temperatures across the country:

• Central regions: Below normal temperatures
• Other areas: Above normal temperatures

Rainfall patterns during this period reveal:

• Northeast and provinces adjacent to the Alborz Mountains: Below normal rainfall
• Northwest and both sides of the Zagros Mountains: Below normal rainfall
• Southern regions: Below normal rainfall
• Interior and eastern provinces: Normal to above normal rainfall

During the first week, average temperatures in provinces near the Persian Gulf, as well as in the interior and eastern parts of the country, are projected to be:

• 1 to 5 °C below normal

Conversely, the coastal strip of the Sea of Oman and the northern slopes of the Alborz Mountains will experience temperatures:

• 1 to 3 °C below normal

The northwest region, however, is forecasted to see:

• 3 to 5 °C above normal temperatures

Moving into the second week (March 17 to March 23), the weather outlook suggests:

• Precipitation levels are expected to be:
• Less than normal in most regions
• Normal in some parts of the northwest and west
• The northern half of the country will see temperatures:
• 3 to 6 °C above normal
• Some areas in the northwest exceeding 6 °C
• Other parts of the country will experience temperatures:
• Less than 3 °C

In the third week, forecasts indicate:

• Less than normal rainfall across most areas
• Normal temperatures along the Caspian coastal strip
• The northern half will see temperatures:
• 3 to 5 °C above normal
• Other regions will experience temperatures:
• 1 to 3 °C above normal

As we approach the fourth week, the forecast indicates:

• Normal precipitation levels, with a tendency to be:
• Below normal
• Average temperatures along the Caspian coast will remain:
• Normal
• In other parts of the country, temperatures are expected to be:
• 1 to 3 °C above normal

Looking ahead to the fifth and sixth weeks, rainfall projections indicate:

• Normal to above normal precipitation levels
• In the fifth week, temperatures in the northern half will be:
• 1 to 3 °C above normal
• Other regions will experience:
• 1 °C above normal
• By the sixth week, most parts of the country will see:
• Normal temperatures

Reflecting on the previous water year (September 22, 2023 – September 22, 2024), Iran recorded:

• 252.7 mm of rainfall, marking a 19 percent increase compared to the prior year.
• Initially low precipitation levels raised concerns, but conditions improved over time.

Despite the increase in rainfall, the country continues to face challenges due to:

• Succession of years experiencing drought conditions
• Persistent water shortages in several provinces

Notably, reports indicate that:

• A total of 10 provinces recorded less than normal rainfall.
• The total rainfall recorded in the previous water year was:
• 252.7 mm, a 19 percent increase from the 212.9 mm received the year before (September 2022 – September 2023).
• Compared to the long-term average of 248.7 mm, this represents a slight increase of:
• 2 percent

As we move forward, it is essential to remain aware of the weather patterns and their implications for agriculture, water resources, and daily life across Iran.