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    As Donald Trump begins his second term, the global community is closely watching his approach to Iran following his previous “maximum pressure” campaign. Analysts, including Riccardo Alcaro from the International Affairs Institute, suggest that Trump may exert more control over Iran policy this time, potentially allowing for negotiations. While his administration still includes hardliners, Trump’s newfound openness could facilitate a significant agreement. Europe’s role may also be crucial, as nations like Germany, France, and the UK seek to maintain stability. The outcome of these dynamics will be pivotal for regional stability and US-Iran relations moving forward.

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    The recent UN Security Council session resulted in the rejection of a resolution by Russia and China to delay Iran sanctions, with only 4 votes in favor. Iranian officials argue that the snapback mechanism lacks legal and political validity. A new agreement between Iran and the IAEA could be threatened by these sanctions. Despite reinstated sanctions, Iran may strengthen diplomatic ties with allies like China and Russia, mitigating impacts. The U.S. and European sanctions are viewed as less effective than UN sanctions, and Iran could halt cooperation with the IAEA. The geopolitical situation remains complex, but Iran aims to bolster its international partnerships.