Economy

US Intensifies Pressure on Iraq to Restart Kurdish Oil Exports

February 22, 2025February 22, 2025

The ongoing situation in Iraq regarding Kurdish oil exports has become a focal point of international attention, especially with the increasing pressure from the US government. Recent developments indicate that these exports may soon resume, which could significantly impact the global oil market.

According to eight sources with direct knowledge of the situation, the Trump administration is exerting pressure on Iraq to permit Kurdish oil exports to restart. If Iraq fails to comply, it may face sanctions similar to those imposed on Iran. This news comes as Iraq’s oil minister made an unexpected announcement on Monday, stating that exports from the Kurdistan region would recommence next week.

This decision could potentially resolve a nearly two-year standoff that has resulted in a significant reduction of over 300,000 barrels per day (bpd) of Kurdish oil being transported via Turkey to global markets. The resumption of these exports is seen as a crucial step not only for Iraq but also for the global oil supply chain.

Here are key points regarding this development:

US Pressure: The Trump administration’s influence is a significant factor in Iraq’s decision to allow Kurdish oil exports to resume.
Potential Sanctions: Iraq risks facing sanctions akin to those on Iran if it does not comply with US demands.
Export Resumption: The Kurdish oil exports are set to restart next week, marking a potential end to the long-standing dispute.
Impact on Oil Flows: The resumption is expected to restore over 300,000 bpd of Kurdish oil to the global market.

As reported by Reuters, discussions with sources in Baghdad, Washington, and Erbil reveal that the mounting pressure from the US administration played a crucial role in the oil minister’s announcement. The sources, who requested anonymity due to the delicate nature of the negotiations, underscored the significance of this development.

In summary, the resumption of Kurdish oil exports could not only ease tensions between the US and Iraq but also stabilize the oil market, which has been affected by various geopolitical factors. Observers are closely monitoring the situation as it unfolds, given its potential implications for both regional and global energy dynamics.

In conclusion, the announcement from Iraq’s oil minister marks a pivotal moment for Kurdish oil exports, influenced heavily by US diplomatic efforts. As the situation develops, it will be essential to watch how these changes impact the broader geopolitical landscape.

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