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Israeli military operations in Syria have intensified since mid-2025, with at least six major attacks, including airstrikes and ground assaults, aimed at countering Iranian influence and preventing weapon transfers. This escalation has left Syria grappling with security challenges, as local factions, including Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, struggle amid external threats. Turkey, while publicly opposing Israel, has shown a passive stance, potentially indicating political coordination based on shared interests. The presence of U.S. envoy Tom Barrack complicates the situation, as Israel expands its control in the Golan Heights. Overall, Syria’s instability continues to deepen amid these ongoing conflicts.
Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian is set to discuss the country’s nuclear program with Russian President Vladimir Putin during a visit to Moscow, amidst rising regional tensions. Key topics will include developments in Syria and Gaza, alongside Iran’s nuclear advancements, which have raised concerns of a potential arms race in the Middle East. Since the U.S. withdrew from the JCPOA in 2018, Iran has escalated uranium enrichment, currently possessing enough 60% enriched uranium for several nuclear bombs. The meeting underscores the critical role of Russia as an ally for Iran, especially with the shifting power dynamics in the region.
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Post-Assad Syria has become a complex geopolitical landscape, with Saudi Arabia navigating its role amid shifting power dynamics. The fall of Bashar al-Assad and the rise of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham have compelled Riyadh to engage with the new regime in Damascus while countering influences from Turkey, Iran, Qatar, and Israel. Saudi Arabia aims to leverage economic support for reconstruction and foster alliances with local tribal leaders to assert its importance. However, it faces significant challenges, including competition with Qatar and the risks of empowering adversaries. Ultimately, Riyadh’s strategy appears precarious in the fragmented Syrian crisis.
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